ROCK DEMAND PLANNING
Forecast
Current ordering: Aug 24–Sep 6, 2026 · Current delivery: Sep 11–Sep 12, 2026
Ready
BeenourishBison Cove RanchCircle N DairyFull Quiver FarmsHearth and Render Co.Louie and Mae OrganicsMade Whole Food Co.Prairie FarmsteadROCK FarmhouseRaised Wild TexasSandy Creek DairySandy Creek Dairy FarmSmart Source SeafoodThe 5th LoafThe Fifth LoafThrivestock RanchWindy Meadows Family Farm
SELECTED FARM
The Fifth Loaf
Next cycle Sep 7–Sep 20, 2026 · Delivery Sep 25–Sep 26, 2026
Current cycle58units ordered so far
Next cycle forecast47projected units
Planning range38–55reasonable range
Demand directionStable+5% vs. 6-cycle average
PRODUCT FORECAST
Current vs. next cycle
| Product / Variant | Current Cycle | Next Cycle Forecast | Planning Range | Demand Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Organic Artisan Sourdough Calculation detailsCurrent subscription15 Current one-time11 Known Appstle commitment15 Forecast treatmentCommitment + unscheduled demand Appstle item typeInferred from Shopify history Historical subscription activityYes Historical total-demand baseline21 Historical subscription baseline14 Estimated one-time7 One-time avg. 26 One-time avg. 69 One-time trend-29% Completed cycles used6 | 26 | 22 | 20–24 | Stable |
Organic Sourdough Sandwich Loaf — Regular | Sourdough Sandwich Loaf Calculation detailsCurrent subscription9 Current one-time6 Known Appstle commitment10 Forecast treatmentCommitment + unscheduled demand Appstle item typeInferred from Shopify history Historical subscription activityYes Historical total-demand baseline14 Historical subscription baseline8 Estimated one-time6 One-time avg. 27 One-time avg. 65 One-time trend+39% Completed cycles used6 | 15 | 16 | 14–18 | Variable |
Jalapeño Cheddar | Organic Artisan Sourdough Calculation detailsCurrent subscription0 Current one-time5 Historical subscription baseline (fallback)2 Estimated one-time2 One-time avg. 22 One-time avg. 62 One-time trend0% Completed cycles used6 | 5 | 4 | 2–5 | Rising |
Organic Sourdough Sandwich Loaf — Cinnamon Swirl | Sourdough Sandwich Loaf Calculation detailsCurrent subscription2 Current one-time4 Known Appstle commitment2 Forecast treatmentCommitment is a floor on total demand Appstle item typeOne-time add-on Historical subscription activityYes Historical total-demand baseline3 Historical subscription baseline2 Estimated one-time0 One-time avg. 20 One-time avg. 60 One-time trend-100% Completed cycles used6 | 6 | 3 | 2–3 | Softening |
Bread Crumbs | 8 oz | Organic Sourdough — 8 oz | Bread Crumbs Calculation detailsCurrent subscription5 Current one-time1 Historical subscription baseline (fallback)1 Estimated one-time1 One-time avg. 21 One-time avg. 62 One-time trend-40% Completed cycles used6 | 6 | 2 | 0–5 | Softening |
| Farm total | 58 | 47 | 38–55 | Stable |